Selecting a machine learning algorithm for a predictive modeling problem involves evaluating many different models and model configurations using k-fold cross-validation. The super learner is an ensemble machine learning algorithm that combines all of the models and model configurations that you might investigate for a predictive modeling problem and uses them to make a prediction […]
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Bayes Theorem provides a principled way for calculating a conditional probability. It is a deceptively simple calculation, providing a method that is easy to use for scenarios where our intuition often fails. The best way to develop an intuition for Bayes Theorem is to think about the meaning of the terms in the equation and […]
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Machine learning algorithms are typically evaluated using resampling techniques such as k-fold cross-validation. During the k-fold cross-validation process, predictions are made on test sets comprised of data not used to train the model. These predictions are referred to as out-of-fold predictions, a type of out-of-sample predictions. Out-of-fold predictions play an important role in machine learning […]
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The Bayes Optimal Classifier is a probabilistic model that makes the most probable prediction for a new example. It is described using the Bayes Theorem that provides a principled way for calculating a conditional probability. It is also closely related to the Maximum a Posteriori: a probabilistic framework referred to as MAP that finds the […]
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Given easy-to-use machine learning libraries like scikit-learn and Keras, it is straightforward to fit many different machine learning models on a given predictive modeling dataset. The challenge of applied machine learning, therefore, becomes how to choose among a range of different models that you can use for your problem. Naively, you might believe that model […]
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An empirical distribution function provides a way to model and sample cumulative probabilities for a data sample that does not fit a standard probability distribution. As such, it is sometimes called the empirical cumulative distribution function, or ECDF for short. In this tutorial, you will discover the empirical probability distribution function. After completing this tutorial, […]
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Feature selection is the process of reducing the number of input variables when developing a predictive model. It is desirable to reduce the number of input variables to both reduce the computational cost of modeling and, in some cases, to improve the performance of the model. Feature-based feature selection methods involve evaluating the relationship between […]
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Feature selection is the process of identifying and selecting a subset of input features that are most relevant to the target variable. Feature selection is often straightforward when working with real-valued data, such as using the Pearson’s correlation coefficient, but can be challenging when working with categorical data. The two most commonly used feature selection […]
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Machine learning and deep learning models, like those in Keras, require all input and output variables to be numeric. This means that if your data contains categorical data, you must encode it to numbers before you can fit and evaluate a model. The two most popular techniques are an integer encoding and a one hot […]
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It is critical that any data preparation performed on a training dataset is also performed on a new dataset in the future. This may include a test dataset when evaluating a model or new data from the domain when using a model to make predictions. Typically, the model fit on the training dataset is saved […]
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